论文标题
建模用于船舶路径预测的历史AIS数据:全面处理
Modeling Historical AIS Data For Vessel Path Prediction: A Comprehensive Treatment
论文作者
论文摘要
人工智能的繁荣引起了人们对智能/自动导航的密集兴趣,其中路径预测是决策支持的关键功能,例如路线规划,碰撞警告和交通法规。对于海事情报,自动识别系统(AIS)起着重要作用,因为它最近已针对大型国际商业船只强制性,并能够提供该船的几乎实时信息。因此,基于AIS数据的船只路径预测是未来海事智能的一种有希望的方法。但是,在线收集的现实世界中的AIS数据只是来自不同类型的血管和地理区域的高度不规则轨迹段(AIS消息序列),数据质量可能非常低。因此,即使有一些工作研究如何使用历史AIS数据来构建路径预测模型,但这仍然是一个非常具有挑战性的问题。在本文中,我们提出了一个综合框架,以模拟大规模的历史AIS轨迹段,以进行准确的血管路径预测。与现有流行方法进行实验比较以验证所提出的方法,结果表明,我们的方法可以超过基线方法,从而大幅度。
The prosperity of artificial intelligence has aroused intensive interests in intelligent/autonomous navigation, in which path prediction is a key functionality for decision supports, e.g. route planning, collision warning, and traffic regulation. For maritime intelligence, Automatic Identification System (AIS) plays an important role because it recently has been made compulsory for large international commercial vessels and is able to provide nearly real-time information of the vessel. Therefore AIS data based vessel path prediction is a promising way in future maritime intelligence. However, real-world AIS data collected online are just highly irregular trajectory segments (AIS message sequences) from different types of vessels and geographical regions, with possibly very low data quality. So even there are some works studying how to build a path prediction model using historical AIS data, but still, it is a very challenging problem. In this paper, we propose a comprehensive framework to model massive historical AIS trajectory segments for accurate vessel path prediction. Experimental comparisons with existing popular methods are made to validate the proposed approach and results show that our approach could outperform the baseline methods by a wide margin.