论文标题
共享自动驾驶汽车与公共交通之间的竞争:新加坡的案例研究
Competition between shared autonomous vehicles and public transit: A case study in Singapore
论文作者
论文摘要
新兴的自动驾驶汽车(AV)可以补充公共交通(PT)系统或与之竞争。这项研究研究了竞争观点,即在五个监管结构下,AV和PT运营商都以动态可调式供应策略为导向,以了解是否允许AV操作员更改车队的规模以及是否允许PT操作员调整前进方向。在这五个场景中,有四个是受到限制的竞争,而另一个则集中在不受限制的竞争中,以找到NASH平衡。我们从四个利益相关者的角度评估了竞争过程以及系统性能 - AV操作员,PT操作员,乘客和运输当局。我们还研究了PT补贴对竞争结果的影响,包括基于需求的补贴和基于供应的补贴。提出了一种启发式算法,以根据操作员的历史行动和利润来更新AV和PT的供应策略。基于代理的仿真模型在新加坡淡滨尼的第一英里方案中实现。我们发现,与现状相比,这项竞争可以使两个运营商的利润更高和更高的系统效率。供应更新后,PT服务将在空间上集中到直接馈送到地铁站的较短路线,并暂时集中到高峰小时。平均而言,竞争减少了乘客的旅行时间,但增加了旅行成本。尽管如此,在纳入时间的价值时,广义旅行成本却降低了。就系统效率而言,总线供应调整增加了平均车辆负载,并减少了由乘用车等效物(PCE)测量的总车辆千米,而AV供应调整则相反。
Emerging autonomous vehicles (AV) can either supplement the public transportation (PT) system or compete with it. This study examines the competitive perspective where both AV and PT operators are profit-oriented with dynamic adjustable supply strategies under five regulatory structures regarding whether the AV operator is allowed to change the fleet size and whether the PT operator is allowed to adjust headway. Four out of the five scenarios are constrained competition while the other one focuses on unconstrained competition to find the Nash Equilibrium. We evaluate the competition process as well as the system performance from the standpoints of four stakeholders -- the AV operator, the PT operator, passengers, and the transport authority. We also examine the impact of PT subsidies on the competition results including both demand-based and supply-based subsidies. A heuristic algorithm is proposed to update supply strategies for AV and PT based on the operators' historical actions and profits. An agent-based simulation model is implemented in the first-mile scenario in Tampines, Singapore. We find that the competition can result in higher profits and higher system efficiency for both operators compared to the status quo. After the supply updates, the PT services are spatially concentrated to shorter routes feeding directly to the subway station and temporally concentrated to peak hours. On average, the competition reduces the travel time of passengers but increases their travel costs. Nonetheless, the generalized travel cost is reduced when incorporating the value of time. With respect to the system efficiency, the bus supply adjustment increases the average vehicle load and reduces the total vehicle kilometer traveled measured by the passenger car equivalent (PCE), while the AV supply adjustment does the opposite.