论文标题

您实际飞行的速度有多快:对中国和美国的飞行空降时间进行了比较调查

How Fast You Can Actually Fly: A Comparative Investigation of Flight Airborne Time in China and the U.S

论文作者

Liu, Ke, Zheng, Zhe, Zou, Bo, Hansen, Mark

论文摘要

实际空降时间(AAT)是飞行车轮和车轮之间的时间。鉴于对航空旅行和飞行延误的需求不断增长,了解AAT的行为越来越重要。由于对AAT的研究不存在,因此本文对AAT行为进行了第一个经验分析,对美国和中国而言。重点是AAT如何受到预定的块时间(SBT),原点用途(OD)距离的影响,以及从飞行操作的其他部分减少AAT的可能压力。开发了多种计量经济学模型。估计结果表明,在这两个国家 /地区,AAT与SBT和OD距离高度相关。美国的航班比中国快。另一方面,在起飞前面对地面延迟,飞行的速度能力有限。降落以减少AAT的短时间的压力是无关紧要的。进一步进行了对飞行长度和飞机利用的灵敏度分析。考虑到更丰富的空域,灵活的路由网络和高效的ATFM程序,在中国采用了美国AAT行为的反事实。我们发现,通过在中国的空中交通系统中实现巨大的效率提高。平均而言,相对于新SBT,SBT的减少和AAT的减少,每次飞行的AAT将节省11.8分钟。在2016年,全国范围内的航空运营成本可节省近13亿美元,省油燃料的节省将超过3亿加仑。

Actual airborne time (AAT) is the time between wheels-off and wheels-on of a flight. Understanding the behavior of AAT is increasingly important given the ever growing demand for air travel and flight delays becoming more rampant. As no research on AAT exists, this paper performs the first empirical analysis of AAT behavior, comparatively for the U.S. and China. The focus is on how AAT is affected by scheduled block time (SBT), origin-destination (OD) distance, and the possible pressure to reduce AAT from other parts of flight operations. Multiple econometric models are developed. The estimation results show that in both countries AAT is highly correlated with SBT and OD distance. Flights in the U.S. are faster than in China. On the other hand, facing ground delay prior to takeoff, a flight has limited capability to speed up. The pressure from short turnaround time after landing to reduce AAT is immaterial. Sensitivity analysis of AAT to flight length and aircraft utilization is further conducted. Given the more abundant airspace, flexible routing networks, and efficient ATFM procedures, a counterfactual that the AAT behavior in the U.S. were adopted in China is examined. We find that by doing so significant efficiency gains could be achieved in the Chinese air traffic system. On average, 11.8 minutes of AAT per flight would be saved, coming from both reduction in SBT and reduction in AAT relative to the new SBT. Systemwide fuel saving would amount to over 300 million gallons with direct airline operating cost saving of nearly $1.3 billion nationwide in 2016.

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