论文标题
动物运动建模中的测量误差的移动过程
Moving-Resting Process with Measurement Error in Animal Movement Modeling
论文作者
论文摘要
动物运动的统计建模至关重要。只有在离散的,通常不规律的时间点才能观察到动物运动的连续轨迹。大多数现有模型无法自然处理不平等的采样间隔和/或不允许静止或睡觉等不活动期。最近提出的移动式(MR)模型是由电报过程控制的布朗尼运动,该动作允许在电报过程的一个状态下进行无活动的时期。 MR模型在建模具有长期不活跃的捕食者(例如许多FELID)的捕食者的运动中显示出希望,但是缺乏测量误差的适应性严重禁止其在实践中的应用。在这里,我们将测量误差纳入MR模型并得出模型的基本特性。推论基于使用其他观察到的增量组成的链的Markov属性的复合可能性。该方法的性能在有限样品模拟研究中得到了验证。在怀俄明州的山狮的运动数据中应用说明了该方法的效用。
Statistical modeling of animal movement is of critical importance. The continuous trajectory of an animal's movements is only observed at discrete, often irregularly spaced time points. Most existing models cannot handle the unequal sampling interval naturally and/or do not allow inactivity periods such as resting or sleeping. The recently proposed moving-resting (MR) model is a Brownian motion governed by a telegraph process, which allows periods of inactivity in one state of the telegraph process. The MR model shows promise in modeling the movements of predators with long inactive periods such as many felids, but the lack of accommodation of measurement errors seriously prohibits its application in practice. Here we incorporate measurement errors in the MR model and derive basic properties of the model. Inferences are based on a composite likelihood using the Markov property of the chain composed by every other observed increments. The performance of the method is validated in finite sample simulation studies. Application to the movement data of a mountain lion in Wyoming illustrates the utility of the method.