论文标题
Covid-19时代的道德决定:您的选择真的很重要
Moral decisions in the age of COVID-19: your choices really matter
论文作者
论文摘要
我们在此期间做出的道德决定,例如决定是否遵守隔离规则,具有前所未有的社会影响。我们模拟了2020年3月7日至8日发生的“从米兰逃脱”,当时许多旅行者在宣布即将宣布的锁定后立即从高风险区(米兰)迁至意大利南部地区(Campania和Lazio)。我们的模拟表明,少于50例活性病例可能导致这些区域中观察到的病毒突然扩散。少数人的行为对社会动态的令人惊讶的影响挑战了我们的认知期望 - 在正常情况下,集体动态对很少的“作弊者”的决定相当强大。因此,这种情况需要新的教育策略,以提高我们对个人道德决定前所未有的影响的认识和理解。
The moral decisions we make during this period, such as deciding whether to comply with quarantine rules, have unprecedented societal effects. We simulate the "escape from Milan" that occurred on March 7th-8th 2020, when many travelers moved from a high-risk zone (Milan) to southern regions of Italy (Campania and Lazio) immediately after an imminent lockdown was announced. Our simulations show that fewer than 50 active cases might have caused the sudden spread of the virus observed afterwards in these regions. The surprising influence of the actions of few individuals on societal dynamics challenges our cognitive expectations -- as in normal conditions, collective dynamics are rather robust to the decisions of few "cheaters". This situation therefore requires novel educational strategies that increase our awareness and understanding of the unprecedented effects of our individual moral decisions.