论文标题

电力市场模型中不确定性的表示:定价含义和配方

Representation of Uncertainty in Electric Energy Market Models: Pricing Implication and Formulation

论文作者

Ghaljehei, Mohammad, Khorsand, Mojdeh

论文摘要

由于打算提高系统安全性和可靠性的意图,现代市场管理系统继续发展。这种发展一直导致市场拍卖模型从确定性结构的过渡,并在可靠性标准(例如,通过代理储备金策略获得意外储备)的近似值,以明确表示意外情况(例如,通过参与因素和结构性程序估算后置态状态的估计)。本文提出了一个综合框架,以建立各种评估程序:(i)不同应急建模方法的透明度和激励兼容性,以及(ii)两种可能的随机市场设计的效率。首先,提出了证券化的LMP的概念,以解决应如何为提供N-1可靠性服务的市场参与者提供赔偿的问题。然后,比较了三个市场模型的定价含义和定居点:(i)具有代理服务政策的确定性市场模型,(ii)具有估计的征服后状态的最先进的市场模型,以及(iii)两阶段的随机市场模型。其次,本文评估了两个随机市场模型,同时考虑了从日期安排到实时操作的潜在调整:(i)最大程度地降低所有N-1场景的预期运营成本,以及(ii)最大程度地减少基础案例(或无需)成本。这些分析是在IEEE 118总线测试系统上进行的。

Modern market management systems continue to evolve due to the intentions to improve system security and reliability. This evolvement has been leading to a transition of market auction models from a deterministic structure with approximations on the reliability criteria (e.g., acquirement of contingency reserve through proxy reserve policies) to explicit representation of contingencies (e.g., estimation of post-contingency states via participation factors and stochastic programming). This paper proposes a comprehensive framework to establish various procedures for evaluating: (i) transparency and incentive compatibility of different contingency modeling approaches, and (ii) efficiency of two possible stochastic market designs. First, the concept of securitized LMP is presented to solve the issue of how market participants should be compensated for providing N-1 reliability services. Then, pricing implications and settlements of three market models are compared: (i) a deterministic market model with proxy serve policies, (ii) state-of-the-art market models with estimated post-contingency states, and (iii) a two-stage stochastic market model. Second, this paper evaluates two stochastic market models while accounting for potential adjustments from day-ahead scheduling to real-time operation: (i) minimizing expected operating cost of all N-1 scenarios, and (ii) minimizing the base-case (or no contingency) cost. These analyses are conducted on IEEE 118-bus test system.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源