论文标题
经济资源有限的系统中流行病驱动的崩溃
The Epidemic-Driven Collapse in a System with Limited Economic Resource
论文作者
论文摘要
我们认为，由于受感染人口规模和正式的集体经济资源之间的负面反馈，我们在基本的动力学模型中流行的传播引起的社会经济崩溃的可能性。流行资源耦合被认为是激活类型的，其恢复率由类似Arrhenius的法律和资源扮演的恢复率发挥了作用。由于资源有限，这种耦合会导致与热爆炸相反的崩溃效果。在这种情况下，该系统无法再稳定并返回稳定的流经液状态。我们证明，这种崩溃可以通过负面资源或债务部分缓解。
We consider a possibility of socioeconomic collapse caused by the spread of epidemic in a basic dynamical model with negative feedback between the infected population size and a formal collective economic resource. The epidemic-resource coupling is supposed to be of activation type, with the recovery rate governed by the Arrhenius-like law and resource playing the role of temperature. Such a coupling can result in the collapsing effect opposite to thermal explosion because of the limited resource. In this case, the system can no longer stabilize and return to the stable pre- or post-epidemic states. We demonstrate that such a collapse can partially be mitigated by means of a negative resource or debt.
