论文标题
固定库存不准确
Fixing Inventory Inaccuracies At Scale
论文作者
论文摘要
库存记录不正确,经常发生,某些措施的年销售额约为4%。手动检测库存不准确性的成本较高,并且现有的算法解决方案几乎完全依赖于从纵向数据中学习,这在现代零售操作引起的动态环境中不足。取而代之的是,我们提出了一个基于商店和SKU上的横截面数据的解决方案,观察到检测库存不准确性可以被视为识别(低级数)泊松矩阵中异常的问题。在低级别矩阵中检测到的最新方法显然不足。具体而言,从理论的角度来看,这些方法的恢复保证要求需要以消失的噪音消失(在我们的问题中,实际上在许多应用中)观察到非异常的条目。 如此有动力,我们提出了一种在概念上简单的入门方法,以在低级别的泊松矩阵中进行异常检测。我们的方法适合一类概率异常模型。我们表明,我们的算法所产生的成本以最低最佳最佳速率接近最佳算法。使用来自消费品零售商的合成数据和真实数据,我们表明我们的方法可提供高达10倍的成本降低,而不是现有检测的方法。在此过程中,我们基于寻求矩阵完成的入门错误保证的最新工作,建立了独立利息的次要矩阵的保证。
Inaccurate records of inventory occur frequently, and by some measures cost retailers approximately 4% in annual sales. Detecting inventory inaccuracies manually is cost-prohibitive, and existing algorithmic solutions rely almost exclusively on learning from longitudinal data, which is insufficient in the dynamic environment induced by modern retail operations. Instead, we propose a solution based on cross-sectional data over stores and SKUs, observing that detecting inventory inaccuracies can be viewed as a problem of identifying anomalies in a (low-rank) Poisson matrix. State-of-the-art approaches to anomaly detection in low-rank matrices apparently fall short. Specifically, from a theoretical perspective, recovery guarantees for these approaches require that non-anomalous entries be observed with vanishingly small noise (which is not the case in our problem, and indeed in many applications). So motivated, we propose a conceptually simple entry-wise approach to anomaly detection in low-rank Poisson matrices. Our approach accommodates a general class of probabilistic anomaly models. We show that the cost incurred by our algorithm approaches that of an optimal algorithm at a min-max optimal rate. Using synthetic data and real data from a consumer goods retailer, we show that our approach provides up to a 10x cost reduction over incumbent approaches to anomaly detection. Along the way, we build on recent work that seeks entry-wise error guarantees for matrix completion, establishing such guarantees for sub-exponential matrices, a result of independent interest.