论文标题

集成气体能源系统的不确定性管理框架

An Uncertainty Management Framework for Integrated Gas-Electric Energy Systems

论文作者

Roald, Line A., Sundar, Kaarthik, Zlotnik, Anatoly, Misra, Sidhant, Andersson, Göran

论文摘要

在世界许多地方,电力系统已经从可再生能源和天然气转向了产生的重大转变。由于它们能够实时灵活调整发电,因此气体发电厂经常被视为可变可再生生成的理想合作伙伴。但是,这种对天然气产生的依赖性增加了相互依存关系,并传播了电网和天然气管道之间的不确定性,并带来了协调和不确定性管理的挑战。为了解决这些问题,我们提出了一个不确定性管理框架,以解决不确定的,但燃气发电厂的气体消耗有限。可允许的范围是基于合并气体和电力网络的联合优化问题计算的,该问题涉及电网的机会约束,并针对天然气网络进行了新颖的强大优化公式。该公式可确保具有很高可能性的集成系统的可行性,同时提供了可拖动的数值公式。相对于现有方法的关键进步是,我们的方法基于瞬态气管流的物理准确,经过验证的模型。我们的案例研究基准了我们提议的制定方法,以忽略储备活化如何影响燃气发电厂的燃料使用方式,而仅考虑预定的气体消耗。结果表明,考虑不确定性以避免违反操作限制和对发电机的限制的重要性。

In many parts of the world, electric power systems have seen a significant shift towards generation from renewable energy and natural gas. Because of their ability to flexibly adjust power generation in real time, gas-fired power plants are frequently seen as the perfect partner for variable renewable generation. However, this reliance on gas generation increases interdependence and propagates uncertainty between power grids and gas pipelines, and brings coordination and uncertainty management challenges. To address these issues, we propose an uncertainty management framework for uncertain, but bounded gas consumption by gas-fired power plants. The admissible ranges are computed based on a joint optimization problem for the combined gas and electricity networks, which involves chance-constrained scheduling for the electric grid and a novel robust optimization formulation for the natural gas network. This formulation ensures feasibility of the integrated system with a high probability, while providing a tractable numerical formulation. A key advance with respect to existing methods is that our method is based on a physically accurate, validated model for transient gas pipeline flows. Our case study benchmarks our proposed formulation against methods that ignore how reserve activation impacts the fuel use of gas power plants, and only consider predetermined gas consumption. The results demonstrate the importance of considering uncertainty to avoid operating constraint violations and curtailment of gas to the generators.

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