论文标题

响应于19:流行病的配置模型

In Response to COVID-19: Configuration Model of the Epidemic Spreading

论文作者

Nesterov, Alexander I, Villafuerte, Pablo Héctor Mata, Berman, Gennady P

论文摘要

引入了基于无标度网络的流行病差异的配置模型。我们获得了描述流行病扩散的不稳定和稳定动力学的分析解决方案,并证明了这些制度如何在流行病期间互换。我们将模型应用于Covid-19情况,并演示了我们模型的预测特征。

A configuration model for epidemic spread, based on a scale-free network, is introduced. We obtain the analytical solutions describing both unstable and stable dynamics of the epidemic spreading, and demonstrate how these regimes can interchange during the epidemic. We apply the model to the COVID-19 case and demonstrate the predictive features of our model.

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