论文标题

政治选举中的信息流:随机观点

Information flow in political elections: a stochastic perspective

论文作者

Radha, Santosh Kumar

论文摘要

通常,候选人的吸引力与他对各种政策和社会问题的明确意识形态和观点直接相关。利用随机微分方程和Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程的思想,我们开发了一种现象学模型,以了解(联合国)明确传达候选人对政策的立场的影响。我们将证明,与直觉相反,在一个人的立场上有可量化的优势。

Often times, a candidate's attractiveness is directly associated with his clear ideologies and opinions on various policies and social issues. Using the ideas of stochastic differential equations and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process, we develop a phenomenological model to understand the effect of (un)clearly communicating a candidate's stance on policies to the voting public. We will show that, counter intuitively, there are quantifiable advantages to be vague on one's stance.

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