论文标题

半参数近端因果推断

Semiparametric proximal causal inference

论文作者

Cui, Yifan, Pu, Hongming, Shi, Xu, Miao, Wang, Tchetgen, Eric Tchetgen

论文摘要

人们通常在观察数据中进行因果推断时,通常需要对没有无法衡量的混淆(也称为交换性)的怀疑。因为交换性取决于研究者准确测量协变量的能力,从而捕获了所有潜在的混淆来源。实际上,人们最希望的是,协变量测量最多是在给定的观察性研究中运行的真实基础混杂机制的代理。在本文中,我们考虑了Miao等人引入的近端因果推断框架。 (2018); Tchetgen Tchetgen等。 (2020年)尽管将协变量测量明确承认是混杂机制的不完善的代理,但为在测量协变量基础上的交换性失败的情况下,提供了一个机会来了解因果关系。我们对近端推理做出了许多贡献,包括(i)一组非参数近端鉴定平均治疗效应的替代条件; (ii)对平均治疗效应近端估计的一般半参数理论,包括关键的半磁化模型感兴趣的效率界限; (iii)平均治疗效果的近端双重稳健和局部有效估计值的表征。此外,我们为治疗的平均治疗效果提供了类似的识别和效率结果。通过模拟研究和评估重症患者重症监护病房中右心导管插入术的有效性的数据应用来说明我们的方法。

Skepticism about the assumption of no unmeasured confounding, also known as exchangeability, is often warranted in making causal inferences from observational data; because exchangeability hinges on an investigator's ability to accurately measure covariates that capture all potential sources of confounding. In practice, the most one can hope for is that covariate measurements are at best proxies of the true underlying confounding mechanism operating in a given observational study. In this paper, we consider the framework of proximal causal inference introduced by Miao et al. (2018); Tchetgen Tchetgen et al. (2020), which while explicitly acknowledging covariate measurements as imperfect proxies of confounding mechanisms, offers an opportunity to learn about causal effects in settings where exchangeability on the basis of measured covariates fails. We make a number of contributions to proximal inference including (i) an alternative set of conditions for nonparametric proximal identification of the average treatment effect; (ii) general semiparametric theory for proximal estimation of the average treatment effect including efficiency bounds for key semiparametric models of interest; (iii) a characterization of proximal doubly robust and locally efficient estimators of the average treatment effect. Moreover, we provide analogous identification and efficiency results for the average treatment effect on the treated. Our approach is illustrated via simulation studies and a data application on evaluating the effectiveness of right heart catheterization in the intensive care unit of critically ill patients.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源