论文标题
DeepClimgan:高分辨率气候数据生成器
DeepClimGAN: A High-Resolution Climate Data Generator
论文作者
论文摘要
地球系统模型(ESMS)模拟了全球气氛,土地和海洋的物理和化学,通常用于产生气候变化情景的未来预测。这些模型在计算上太密集而无法反复运行,但是有限的运行集不足以用于某些重要的应用程序,例如充分采样分配尾巴以表征极端事件。作为妥协,模拟器的价格要便宜得多,但可能没有ESM的所有复杂性。在这里,我们证明了有条件的生成对抗网络(GAN)充当ESM模拟器。在此过程中,我们获得了生成与ESM在任何选择的情况下可能输出的日常天气数据的能力。特别是,GAN旨在代表空间,时间和气候变量的联合概率分布,从而可以研究相关的极端事件,例如洪水,干旱或热浪。
Earth system models (ESMs), which simulate the physics and chemistry of the global atmosphere, land, and ocean, are often used to generate future projections of climate change scenarios. These models are far too computationally intensive to run repeatedly, but limited sets of runs are insufficient for some important applications, like adequately sampling distribution tails to characterize extreme events. As a compromise, emulators are substantially less expensive but may not have all of the complexity of an ESM. Here we demonstrate the use of a conditional generative adversarial network (GAN) to act as an ESM emulator. In doing so, we gain the ability to produce daily weather data that is consistent with what ESM might output over any chosen scenario. In particular, the GAN is aimed at representing a joint probability distribution over space, time, and climate variables, enabling the study of correlated extreme events, such as floods, droughts, or heatwaves.