论文标题

为未来的工作准备城市流动性

Preparing urban mobility for the future of work

论文作者

Caros, Nicholas S., Zhao, Jinhua

论文摘要

数十年来,灵活工作的逐渐增长突然被19009年大流行而大大加速。预计在美国,灵活的工作日的份额将从2018年的4%增长到到2022年的26 \%以上。工作性质的这种快速而出乎意料的转变将对城市运输的需求和供应产生深远的影响。了解人们如何围绕何处以及与谁一起工作将对于预测未来的旅行模式和设计出行系统以服务灵活的通勤者至关重要。为此,本文为描述可能的灵活工作安排,涉及的利益相关者以及他们之间的关系建立了形式的分类法。然后开发了一个分析框架,用于调整现有的运输模型,以结合灵活的工作位置选择的独特动态。提供了几个示例,以说明如何在广泛的场景中应用新的分类法和分析框架。最后,提出了一个批判性的研究议程,以创建经验知识和方法论工具,以为工作的未来做准备。

A gradual growth in flexible work over many decades has been suddenly and dramatically accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic. The share of flexible work days in the United States is forecasted to grow from 4\% in 2018 to over 26\% by 2022. This rapid and unexpected shift in the nature of work will have a profound effect on the demand for, and supply of, urban transportation. Understanding how people make decisions around where and with whom to work will be critical for predicting future travel patterns and designing mobility systems to serve flexible commuters. To that end, this paper establishes a formal taxonomy for describing possible flexible work arrangements, the stakeholders involved and the relationships between them. An analytical framework is then developed for adapting existing transportation models to incorporate the unique dynamics of flexible work location choice. Several examples are provided to demonstrate how the new taxonomy and analytical framework can be applied across a broad set of scenarios. Finally, a critical research agenda is proposed to create both the empirical knowledge and methodological tools to prepare urban mobility for the future of work.

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