论文标题

存储效应不是关于围栏或人口阶段结构的

The storage effect is not about bet-hedging or population stage-structure

论文作者

Johnson, Evan C., Godoy, Oscar, Hastings, Alan

论文摘要

存储效应是在变化环境中共存的众所周知的解释。像许多复杂的生态学理论一样,存储效果通常被用作基于启发式理解的共存的解释,而不是仔细应用详细模型。一种解释指出,物种通过专门研究特定的环境状态并存,因此必须具有强大的生活阶段(例如,长寿成年人,种子银行),以“等待”以处于有利的状态。在这里,我们表明这种广泛使用的解释可能会产生误导。多个模型表明,阶段结构,寿命长和重叠的世代既不需要,也不足以用于存储效果。在强大的生命阶段确实会产生存储效果的模型中,它不能通过防止随机灭绝或改善相对贝特希奇来做到这一点。最好将稳健的生活阶段理解为满足存储效果的抽象条件的众多方法之一:环境和竞争对人均增长率的互动效果。使用西班牙地中海草原的年度植物数据集,我们表明这种相互作用的效果发生在水的供应和发芽竞争者的数量之间,从而在没有持续的种子库的情况下导致存储。希望发现存储效应的经验家应在物种生命周期的所有阶段寻找环境条件和竞争之间的相互作用效果 - 易于识别多重回归。

The storage effect is a well-known explanation for coexistence in temporally varying environments. Like many complex ecological theories, the storage effect is often used as an explanation for observed coexistence on the basis of heuristic understanding, rather than careful application of a detailed model. One interpretation states that species coexist by specializing on specific environmental states, and therefore must have a robust life-stage (e.g., long-lived adults, a seed-bank) in order to "wait it out" for favorable conditions. Here we show that this widely employed interpretation can be misleading. Multiple models show that stage-structure, long lifespans, and overlapping generations are neither necessary nor sufficient for the storage effect. In models where a robust life-stage does engender a storage effect, it does not do so by preventing stochastic extinction or by improving relative bet-hedging. A robust life-stage is best understood as one of many ways to fulfill an abstract condition for the storage effect: an interaction effect of environment and competition on per capita growth rates. Using a dataset of annual plants from a Mediterranean grassland in Spain, we show that such interaction effects occur between water availability and the number of germinant competitors, leading to storage in the absence of a persistent seed bank. Empiricists hoping to uncover the storage effect should look for interaction effects between environmental conditions and competition -- easily identifiable with multiple regression -- at all stages of a species' life-cycle.

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