论文标题
估计对已发表工作的信心的合成预测市场
A Synthetic Prediction Market for Estimating Confidence in Published Work
论文作者
论文摘要
可以解释地估计对已发表的学术工作的信心为更快，更强大的科学进步提供了机会。我们开发一个合成的预测市场，以评估社会和行为科学文献中已发表的主张的信誉。我们使用已知复制项目的集合来演示我们的系统和详细信息。我们建议这项工作奠定了研究议程的基础，该研究议程创造性地将AI用于同行评审。
Explainably estimating confidence in published scholarly work offers opportunity for faster and more robust scientific progress. We develop a synthetic prediction market to assess the credibility of published claims in the social and behavioral sciences literature. We demonstrate our system and detail our findings using a collection of known replication projects. We suggest that this work lays the foundation for a research agenda that creatively uses AI for peer review.
