论文标题
纠正网络事件报告延迟的报告
Correcting for Reporting Delays in Cyber Incidents
论文作者
论文摘要
随着网络范围的不断发展，报告事件的延迟是网络保险行业的一个众所周知的问题。解决此问题是获得网络事件率的真实情况并适当地对其进行建模的必要条件。提出的算法通过创建报告延迟分布的模型并使用该模型纠正报告的事件计数来说明发生的事件的预期比例，但尚未报告。特别是，这种校正显示了最近几个月的网络事件数量的增加，而不是报告计数所暗示的下降。
With an ever evolving cyber domain, delays in reporting incidents are a well-known problem in the cyber insurance industry. Addressing this problem is a requisite to obtaining the true picture of cyber incident rates and to model it appropriately. The proposed algorithm addresses this problem by creating a model of the distribution of reporting delays and using the model to correct reported incident counts to account for the expected proportion of incidents that have occurred but not yet been reported. In particular, this correction shows an increase in the number of cyber events in recent months rather than the decline suggested by reported counts.
