论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Numerical analysis of processes for the formation of moonlets confining the arcs of Neptune

论文作者

Madeira, Gustavo, Winter, Silvia Maria Giuliatti

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

The arcs of Neptune - Fraternité, Egalité, Liberté, and Courage - are four incomplete rings immersed in the Adams ring. A recent confinement model for the arcs proposes that the structures are azimuthally confined by four co-orbital moonlets. In this work, we intend to approach some points related to the dynamics of co-orbital moonlets and suggest a model for their formation. We study the equilibrium configurations for 1+N co-orbital satellites under the 42:43 Lindblad resonance with Galatea. We obtained three distinct configurations with 1+3 and 1+4 moonlets able to confine and reproduce the location of the arcs. The moonlets' formation is analysed by the disruption of an ancient body at a Lagrangian point of a moon. The disruption fragments spread out in horseshoe orbits and collide to form moonlets, which reach an equilibrium configuration due to a non-conservative effect. In such a scenario, the arcs likely formed through a mixture of different processes, with impacts between disruption outcomes and meteoroid impacts with the moonlets being possibilities.

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