论文标题

电力长距离贸易的潜在收益

Potential gains of long-distance trade in electricity

论文作者

Prol, Javier López, Steininger, Karl W., Williges, Keith, Grossmann, Wolf D., Grossmann, Iris

论文摘要

所有经济部门和太阳能光伏(PV)的电气化成为有史以来最低成本的发电技术,这会带来新的潜在贸易收益。我们开发了一种程式化的分析模型,以最大程度地减少自闭症的单位能源成本,将其开放给不同的贸易配置,并经过经验评估。我们通过结合互补的季节性和昼夜周期来确定跨膜间和全球电力贸易的巨大潜在收益。相应地支付大规模传播的高度意愿表明了深远的政治经济和监管意义。

Electrification of all economic sectors and solar photovoltaics (PV) becoming the lowest-cost electricity generation technology in ever more regions give rise to new potential gains of trade. We develop a stylized analytical model to minimize unit energy cost in autarky, open it to different trade configurations, and evaluate it empirically. We identify large potential gains from interhemispheric and global electricity trade by combining complementary seasonal and diurnal cycles. The corresponding high willingness to pay for large-scale transmission suggests far-reaching political economy and regulatory implications.

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