论文标题

自行车共享对COVID-19传输和自行车共享对Covid-19的反应的影响:华盛顿特区的案例研究

Bike Share's Impact on COVID-19 Transmission and Bike Share's Responses to COVID-19: A case study of Washington DC

论文作者

Beigi, Pedram, Haque, Mohaiminul, Rajabi, Mohammad Sadra, Hamdar, Samer

论文摘要

由于广泛的旅行限制和锁定限制以限制SARS-COV2病毒的扩散,因此2019年的冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行对全球,国家和地方水平的人类流动性产生了直接而显着的影响。在地方一级,自行车共享在大流行期间在城市运输中发挥了重要作用,因为骑手可以在感染风险降低的户外旅行。但是,基于不同的数据资源,这种非机动运输方式仍受到大流行的负面影响(即,乘客的相对减少)。这项研究有两个目标:1)研究Covid-19-19的影响对通过自行车共享系统进行的旅行的数量和持续时间的影响 - 美国华盛顿特区的Capital Bikeshare; 2)探索国家资本中的土地利用和家庭收入是否影响大流行期间乘客的空间变化。为了实现这些目标,这项研究着眼于自行车共享与COVID-19传播之间的关系是二向关系,而不是一个方向的因果关系。因此,这项研究模型i)COVID-19感染数量和速率对使用Capital Bikeshare系统的使用以及II)在单个自行车共享用户中传播Covid-19的风险。换句话说,我们检查了i)骑自行车的人的行为是城市环境中COVID-19传播演变的函数,而ii)自行车共享用法与COVID-19之间的可能关系通过采用概率传播模型。研究结果表明,大流行期间使用自行车共享系统的风险以及自行车共享是否仍然是一种更健康的替代运输方式。

Due to the wide-ranging travel restrictions and lockdowns applied to limit the diffusion of the SARS-CoV2 virus, the coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had an immediate and significant effect on human mobility at the global, national, and local levels. At the local level, bike-sharing played a significant role in urban transport during the pandemic since riders could travel outdoors with reduced infection risk. However, based on different data resources, this non-motorized mode of transportation was still negatively affected by the pandemic (i.e., relative reduction in ridership). This study has two objectives: 1) to investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the numbers and duration of trips conducted through a bike-sharing system -- the Capital Bikeshare in Washington, DC, USA; and 2) to explore whether land use and household income in the nation's capital influence the spatial variation of ridership during the pandemic. Towards realizing these objectives, this research looks at the relationship between bike sharing and COVID-19 transmission as a two-directional relationship rather than a one-directional causal relationship. Accordingly, this study models i) the impact of COVID-19 infection numbers and rates on the use of the Capital Bikeshare system and ii) the risk of COVID-19 transmission among individual bike-sharing users. In other words, we examine i) the cyclist's behavior as a function of the COVID-19 transmission evolution in an urban environment and ii) the possible relationship between the bike share usage and the COVID-19 transmission through adopting a probabilistic contagion model. The findings show the risk of using a bike-sharing system during the pandemic and whether bike sharing remains a healthier alternative mode of transportation in terms of infection risk.

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