论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Water observed in the atmosphere of τ Bootis Ab with CARMENES/CAHA
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
Characterising the atmospheres of hot Jupiters is important in understanding the formation and migration of these exotic planets. However, there are still many open questions about the chemical and physical properties of these atmospheres. Here, we confirm the detection of water vapour in thermal emission from the non-transiting hot Jupiter τ Bootis Ab with the high resolution NIR CARMENES spectrograph. Combining over 17 h of observations (560 spectra) and using a Bayesian cross-correlation to log-likelihood approach, we measure a systemic velocity of $V_{sys} = -11.51^{+0.59}_{-0.60}$ km/s and a radial velocity semi-amplitude of $K_{P} = 106.21^{+1.76}_{-1.71}$ km/s for the planet, which results in an absolute mass of $M_{P} = 6.24^{+0.17}_{-0.18} M_{J}$ and an orbital inclination of $41.6^{+1.0}_{-0.9}$ degrees. Our retrieved $V_{sys}$ shows a significant shift (+5 km/s) from the literature value, which could be caused by an inaccurate time of periastron. Within the explored model grid, we measure a preference for solar water abundance (VMR = $10^{-3}$) and no evidence for additional minor species in the atmosphere. Given the extensive orbital coverage of the data, we searched for a phase dependency in the water signal but found no strong evidence of variation with orbital phase. This detection is at odds with recent observations from SPIRou/CFHT and their tight upper limit on water abundance. We recommend further observations of the atmosphere τ Bootis Ab to try and resolve these discrepancies.