论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Schema-Guided Event Graph Completion
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
We tackle a new task, event graph completion, which aims to predict missing event nodes for event graphs. Existing link prediction or graph completion methods have difficulty dealing with event graphs because they are usually designed for a single large graph such as a social network or a knowledge graph, rather than multiple small dynamic event graphs. Moreover, they can only predict missing edges rather than missing nodes. In this work, we propose to utilize event schema, a template that describes the stereotypical structure of event graphs, to address the above issues. Our schema-guided event graph completion approach first maps an instance event graph to a subgraph of the schema graph by a heuristic subgraph matching algorithm. Then it predicts whether a candidate event node in the schema graph should be added to the instantiated schema subgraph by characterizing two types of local topology of the schema graph: neighbors of the candidate node and the subgraph, and paths that connect the candidate node and the subgraph. These two modules are later combined together for the final prediction. We also propose a self-supervised strategy to construct training samples, as well as an inference algorithm that is specifically designed to complete event graphs. Extensive experimental results on four datasets demonstrate that our proposed method achieves state-of-the-art performance, with 4.3% to 19.4% absolute F1 gains over the best baseline method on the four datasets.