论文标题
对AI的潜在长期影响的调查
A Survey of the Potential Long-term Impacts of AI
论文作者
论文摘要
人们越来越认识到，人工智能的进步可能会对社会产生巨大的影响。但是，这些影响将采取什么形式，即它们的大小和持久，以及它们最终对人类的正面或负面影响，远非清楚。基于对AI社会影响的测量文献，我们确定并讨论了AI的五个潜在长期影响：AI如何导致科学，合作，权力，认识论和价值观的长期变化。我们回顾了这些领域中每个领域的现有研究状况，并突出了未来研究的优先问题。
It is increasingly recognised that advances in artificial intelligence could have large and long-lasting impacts on society. However, what form those impacts will take, just how large and long-lasting they will be, and whether they will ultimately be positive or negative for humanity, is far from clear. Based on surveying literature on the societal impacts of AI, we identify and discuss five potential long-term impacts of AI: how AI could lead to long-term changes in science, cooperation, power, epistemics, and values. We review the state of existing research in each of these areas and highlight priority questions for future research.
