论文标题
相关的布尔操作员的不确定性逻辑
Correlated Boolean Operators for Uncertainty Logic
论文作者
论文摘要
我们提出了一个相关的\ textIt {and}门,可用于通过布尔函数传播不确定性和依赖性,因为任何布尔函数都可以表示为\ textit {and}和\ textit {not}操作的组合。我们认为\ textIt {and}门是一个双变量copula家族,其解释是构建给定的Pearson相关系数和边缘概率的双变量Bernoulli随机变量。我们展示了如何使用该副群体来以事件,概率间隔和概率框的形式传播不确定性,而仅部分或不了解事件之间的依赖性,以相关系数的间隔表示。这些结果概括了Fréchet对两个事件具有未知依赖性的事件的结合。我们显示了通过压力箱的断层树传播不确定性的应用程序。本文带有一个开源朱莉娅库,用于执行不确定性逻辑。
We present a correlated \textit{and} gate which may be used to propagate uncertainty and dependence through Boolean functions, since any Boolean function may be expressed as a combination of \textit{and} and \textit{not} operations. We argue that the \textit{and} gate is a bivariate copula family, which has the interpretation of constructing bivariate Bernoulli random variables following a given Pearson correlation coefficient and marginal probabilities. We show how this copula family may be used to propagate uncertainty in the form of probabilities of events, probability intervals, and probability boxes, with only partial or no knowledge of the dependency between events, expressed as an interval for the correlation coefficient. These results generalise previous results by Fréchet on the conjunction of two events with unknown dependencies. We show an application propagating uncertainty through a fault tree for a pressure tank. This paper comes with an open-source Julia library for performing uncertainty logic.