论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Airfall on Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko
论文作者
论文摘要
在这里,我们研究了从一个半球到另一个半球(Airfall材料的沉积)的材料转移过程,特别是67p/churyumov-gerasimenko。我们的目标是:1)量化Airfall碎屑层的厚度及其如何取决于目标区域的位置,2)确定$ \ Mathrm {H_2O} $和$ \ MATHRM {CO_2} $冰的数量,这些数量损失了,这些材料在通过COMA和3的材料中丢失的质量范围损失的范围损失了,并且相对3)的范围估计,并且相对3)估计量的相对量,并估计估计量的范围。预计在以下近日围栏方法上,位置将比其他位置更为活跃。 我们使用各种数值模拟,包括轨道动力学,细胞核和单个昏迷聚集体的热物理,昏迷气体动力学和流体动力学以及由于气阻力引起的粉尘动态,以解决这些问题。我们发现,累积的Airfall材料的厚度与位置有很大变化,通常是$ 0.1 $ -1 \,\ Mathrm {M {M} $的订单。即使在昏迷中相当长的($ 12 \,\ mathrm {h} $)住宅之后,Airfall材料即使在相对较小的(CM大小)昏迷中也保留了大量的水冰。但是,即使在相对较大的(DM大小)的聚集体中,$ \ mathrm {Co_2} $也会在几个小时内丢失,并且预计不会成为Airfall存款中的重要组成部分。我们介绍了可及性和生存指数,以测量不同区域同时收集空地并保留其水冰的相对能力,直到下一个近日毛皮通道,从而在下一个近日围栏通道中为彗星活动做出贡献的潜力。
We here study the transfer process of material from one hemisphere to the other (deposition of airfall material) on an active comet nucleus, specifically 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. Our goals are to: 1) quantify the thickness of the airfall debris layers and how it depends on the location of the target area, 2) determine the amount of $\mathrm{H_2O}$ and $\mathrm{CO_2}$ ice that are lost from icy dust assemblages of different sizes during transfer through the coma, and 3) estimate the relative amount of vapor loss in airfall material after deposition in order to understand what locations are expected to be more active than others on the following perihelion approach. We use various numerical simulations, that include orbit dynamics, thermophysics of the nucleus and of individual coma aggregates, coma gas kinetics and hydrodynamics, as well as dust dynamics due to gas drag, to address these questions. We find that the thickness of accumulated airfall material varies substantially with location, and typically is of the order $0.1$-$1\,\mathrm{m}$. The airfall material preserves substantial amounts of water ice even in relatively small (cm-sized) coma aggregates after a rather long ($12\,\mathrm{h}$) residence in the coma. However, $\mathrm{CO_2}$ is lost within a couple of hours even in relatively large (dm-sized) aggregates, and is not expected to be an important component in airfall deposits. We introduce reachability and survivability indices to measure the relative capacity of different regions to simultaneously collect airfall and to preserve its water ice until the next perihelion passage, thereby grading their potential of contributing to comet activity during the next perihelion passage.