论文标题

用于预测组电梯控制的变压器网络

Transformer Networks for Predictive Group Elevator Control

论文作者

Zhang, Jing, Tsiligkaridis, Athanasios, Taguchi, Hiroshi, Raghunathan, Arvind, Nikovski, Daniel

论文摘要

我们通过使用来自基于变压器的目标预测变量到达的乘客到达的预测信息和线性回归模型来提出一个预测组电梯调度程序,该模型预测了剩余时间到达目的地。通过广泛的经验评估,我们发现平均等待时间(AWT)的节省可能高达50%以上,而在下午倾斜的交通状态下,中等到达的流量约为15%。仔细设置前往电梯(PPGE)阈值的预测概率后,可以获得此类结果,从而避免了大多数错误的预测前往电梯的人,同时只能在乘客的整个载客轨迹中只有60%的真实预测电梯着陆的80%。

We propose a Predictive Group Elevator Scheduler by using predictive information of passengers arrivals from a Transformer based destination predictor and a linear regression model that predicts remaining time to destinations. Through extensive empirical evaluation, we find that the savings of Average Waiting Time (AWT) could be as high as above 50% for light arrival streams and around 15% for medium arrival streams in afternoon down-peak traffic regimes. Such results can be obtained after carefully setting the Predicted Probability of Going to Elevator (PPGE) threshold, thus avoiding a majority of false predictions for people heading to the elevator, while achieving as high as 80% of true predictive elevator landings as early as after having seen only 60% of the whole trajectory of a passenger.

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