论文标题

高可再生能源整合的保险合同

Insurance Contract for High Renewable Energy Integration

论文作者

Zhao, Dongwei, Wang, Hao, Huang, Jianwei, Lin, Xiaojun

论文摘要

可再生能源的渗透不断增加,对电网可靠性构成了重大挑战。利用金融工具(例如保险)来帮助最终用户对冲由于可再生能源可变性而导致负载损失的潜在风险的利益越来越多。使用保险,用户向公用事业支付了保费费用,因此如果他的需求不完全满足,他将获得补偿。适当的保险设计需要解决以下两个挑战:(i)用户的可靠性偏好是私人信息; (ii)保险设计与可再生能源投资决策紧密相结合。为了应对这些挑战,我们采用合同理论来引起用户的私人可靠性偏好,并研究公用事业如何共同优化保险合同和可再生能源的计划。一个关键的分析挑战是,保险设计和可再生能源计划的联合优化是非凸面。我们通过使用两个基准问题的帮助来揭示最佳解决方案的重要结构特性来解决这一困难:不保险基准和社会最佳基准。与无保险基准相比,我们证明社会成本和用户的总能源成本在最佳合同下总是不大。仿真结果表明,保险合同的最大收益是以中等电价的价格以及低型异质性和高可再生不确定性获得的。

The increasing penetration of renewable energy poses significant challenges to power grid reliability. There have been increasing interests in utilizing financial tools, such as insurance, to help end-users hedge the potential risk of lost load due to renewable energy variability. With insurance, a user pays a premium fee to the utility, so that he will get compensated in case his demand is not fully satisfied. A proper insurance design needs to resolve the following two challenges: (i) users' reliability preference is private information; and (ii) the insurance design is tightly coupled with the renewable energy investment decision. To address these challenges, we adopt the contract theory to elicit users' private reliability preferences, and we study how the utility can jointly optimize the insurance contract and the planning of renewable energy. A key analytical challenge is that the joint optimization of the insurance design and the planning of renewables is non-convex. We resolve this difficulty by revealing important structural properties of the optimal solution, using the help of two benchmark problems: the no-insurance benchmark and the social-optimum benchmark. Compared with the no-insurance benchmark, we prove that the social cost and users' total energy cost are always no larger under the optimal contract. Simulation results show that the largest benefit of the insurance contract is achieved at a medium electricity-bill price together with a low type heterogeneity and a high renewable uncertainty.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源