论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Improving Aircraft Localization: Experiences and Lessons Learned from an Open Competition

论文作者

Strohmeier, Martin, Leonardi, Mauro, Markochev, Sergei, Ricciato, Fabio, Schäfer, Matthias, Lenders, Vincent

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

Knowledge about the exact positioning of aircraft is crucial in many settings. Consequently, the opportunistic and independent localization of aircraft based on their communication has been a longstanding problem and subject of much research. Originating from military settings, the capability to conduct aircraft localization has moved first towards the institutional civil aviation domain and can now be undertaken by anyone who has access to multiple cheap software-defined radios. Based on these technological developments, many crowdsourced sensor networks have sprung up, which collect air traffic control data in order to localize aircraft and visualize the airspace. Due to their unplanned and uncontrolled deployment and heterogeneous receiver technology traditional solutions to the Aircraft Localization Problem (ALP) can either not be applied or do not perform in a satisfactory manner. In order to deal with this issue and to find novel approaches to the ALP itself, we have designed and executed a multi-stage open competition, conducted both offline and online. In this paper, we discuss the setup, experiences, and lessons learned from this Aircraft Localization Competition. We report from a diverse set of technical approaches, comprising 72 participating teams over three stages. The participants reached a localization accuracy of up to 25 meters in a setting with fully GPS-synchronized receivers and 78 meters in a largely unsynchronized receiver setting. These results constitute a significant improvement over the previous baseline used in the OpenSky research network. We compare the results of the study, discuss the current state of the art, and highlight the areas that, based on our experience from organizing a competition, need to be improved for optimal adoption of the competitive approach for other scenarios.

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